June 05, 2026
The Capex Cycle: From Investment to Growth
KEY SUMMARY POINTS
- Capital expenditure (capex) is the critical link between economic growth today and sustainable growth tomorrow.
- AI-related capex has been a key driver of growth in the current cycle, helping to offset weakness in other areas of the economy and generating spillovers across the global economy.
- Early evidence suggests this is beginning to support productivity, profit margins, and earnings. If sustained, this dynamic would point to a more durable and resilient expansion.
About the Author
Lorne Gavsie is Senior Vice-President and Head of Macroeconomic & FX Strategy at CI Global Asset Management. In his role, he is responsible for leading a dedicated macroeconomic and FX effort, harnessing the global expertise and knowledge across CI GAM, producing insights to be leveraged for investment purposes and providing our clients with timely and valuable insights. He is also responsible for CI GAM’s currency overlay and hedging strategies. Lorne brings over 25 years of experience in the industry, specializing in currencies, trading and global markets.
Prior to joining CI GAM in 2015, Lorne held various roles with major Canadian banks including Managing Director, FX Europe based in London, England and Global Head, E-FX based in Toronto.
Lorne holds an MBA from the London School of Economics & Politics, HEC Paris and NYU Stern (collectively known as TRIUM) and is a member of the Bank of Canada’s Canadian Foreign Exchange Committee (CFEC).
About the Author
Neil Shankar is CI Global Asset Management’s Economist, responsible for monitoring key macroeconomic trends and shaping CI GAM’s economic outlook. He actively participates in investment and asset allocation discussions, helping guide decision-making.
A leading contributor to CI GAM’s Capital Insights publication, Neil shares in-depth perspectives on evolving economic conditions. He also frequently engages with stakeholders throughout the organization and externally, helping to deepen understanding of the economic landscape. He is regularly quoted in the press for his views on the economy and markets.
With over 10 years of industry experience, Neil joined CI GAM in 2024 after holding similar roles at other major Canadian financial institutions. Neil holds an MA in Business Economics from Wilfrid Laurier University and a BA (Honours) in Economics from The University of Western Ontario.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
This document is provided as a general source of information and should not be considered personal, legal, accounting, tax or investment advice, or construed as an endorsement or recommendation of any entity or security discussed. Every effort has been made to ensure that the material contained in this document is accurate at the time of publication. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this document. All charts and illustrations in this document are for illustrative purposes only. They are not intended to predict or project investment results. Individuals should seek the advice of professionals, as appropriate, regarding any particular investment. Investors should consult their professional advisors prior to implementing any changes to their investment strategies. Certain statements in this document are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements (“FLS”) are statements that are predictive in nature, depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, or that include words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “believe,” or “estimate,” or other similar expressions. Statements that look forward in time or include anything other than historical information are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results, actions or events could differ materially from those set forth in the FLS. FLS are not guarantees of future performance and are by their nature based on numerous assumptions. Although the FLS contained herein are based upon what CI Global Asset Management and the portfolio manager believe to be reasonable assumptions, neither CI Global Asset Management nor the portfolio manager can assure that actual results will be consistent with these FLS. The reader is cautioned to consider the FLS carefully and not to place undue reliance on FLS. Unless required by applicable law, it is not undertaken, and specifically disclaimed that there is any intention or obligation to update or revise FLS, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Certain statements contained in this communication are based in whole or in part on information provided by third parties and CI Global Asset Management has taken reasonable steps to ensure their accuracy. Market conditions may change which may impact the information contained in this document. Certain names, words, titles, phrases, logos, icons, graphics, or designs in this document may constitute trade names, registered or unregistered trademarks or service marks of CI Investments Inc., its subsidiaries, or affiliates, used with permission. All other marks are the property of their respective owners and are used with permission. The opinions expressed in the communication are solely those of the author(s) and are not to be used or construed as investment advice or as an endorsement or recommendation of any entity or security discussed. CI Global Asset Management is a registered business name of CI Investments Inc. ©CI Investments Inc. 2026. All rights reserved.
Published June 3nd, 2026.
